Vila Nova vs Ponte Preta Thursday 20th August 2026 02:30 AM football predictions.

Serie B

Aug. 20, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Vila Nova Ponte Preta

Vila Nova L W L L W L

Ponte Preta D L L L L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ponte Preta	Vila Nova	0 - 1	April 11, 2026
Vila Nova	Ponte Preta	2 - 1	November 11, 2024
Ponte Preta	Vila Nova	2 - 0	July 24, 2024
Vila Nova	Ponte Preta	1 - 1	September 15, 2023
Ponte Preta	Vila Nova	1 - 0	May 28, 2023
Ponte Preta	Vila Nova	1 - 1	October 8, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 27, 26	Away	CRB	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 22, 26	Home	Fortaleza EC	2 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Criciuma	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 10, 26	Away	Juventude	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 6, 26	Home	São Bernardo	2 - 1	Win
Jun 26, 26	Away	Novorizontino	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Athletic Club	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 22, 26	Away	Operario-PR	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Goias	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Home	Criciuma	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Away	Fortaleza EC	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Away	Atletico Goianiense	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Vila Nova	20	10	4	6	27	24	+3	34
20	Ponte Preta	20	2	3	15	15	39	-24	9

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Vila Nova has a 59.78% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.02 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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