Primera B Metropolitana
Match Analysis
Villa San Carlos
Defensores Unidos
Villa San Carlos
W
D
W
L
L
D
Defensores Unidos
L
L
D
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Villa San Carlos with a 48% probability. The model sees Villa San Carlos as having a modest quality edge and better recent form compared to Defensores Unidos, who have struggled defensively lately. Although recent meetings between the two teams have been fairly even and both sides are similarly rested, the model's view aligns somewhat with the market odds, which also slightly favor Villa San Carlos.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Defensores Unidos | Villa San Carlos | 2 - 0 | April 4, 2026 |
| Villa San Carlos | Defensores Unidos | 0 - 0 | November 6, 2022 |
| Defensores Unidos | Villa San Carlos | 2 - 1 | October 30, 2022 |
| Villa San Carlos | Defensores Unidos | 1 - 0 | August 20, 2022 |
| Defensores Unidos | Villa San Carlos | 1 - 1 | April 23, 2022 |
| Defensores Unidos | Villa San Carlos | 1 - 2 | September 13, 2021 |
Villa San Carlos Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Comunicaciones | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Dock Sud | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Deportivo Merlo | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Deportivo Camioneros | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Sportivo Italiano | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | San Martín Burzaco | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Defensores Unidos Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Liniers | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Real Pilar | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | UAI Urquiza | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Villa Dalmine | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Excursionistas | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Arsenal Sarandi | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Primera B Metropolitana Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Villa San Carlos | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 29 |
| 21 | Defensores Unidos | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 26 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.88% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Villa San Carlos to win
This prediction indicates that Villa San Carlos has a 47.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.22 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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