Villa San Carlos vs Excursionistas Saturday 30th May 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Villa San Carlos Excursionistas

Villa San Carlos L D D L L L

Excursionistas D W W D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Excursionistas	Villa San Carlos	0 - 0	August 22, 2025
Villa San Carlos	Excursionistas	2 - 1	April 5, 2025
Villa San Carlos	Excursionistas	2 - 2	July 14, 2024
Excursionistas	Villa San Carlos	1 - 0	February 24, 2024
Excursionistas	Villa San Carlos	1 - 0	June 30, 2019
Villa San Carlos	Excursionistas	3 - 2	June 22, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 26, 26	Away	Deportivo Camioneros	3 - 0	Loss
May 22, 26	Away	Arsenal Sarandi	2 - 2	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Argentino de Merlo	0 - 0	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Talleres Remedios	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Deportivo Laferrere	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Brown DE Adrogue	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 27, 26	Away	Argentino Quilmes	2 - 2	Draw
May 22, 26	Home	Liniers	4 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Real Pilar	0 - 1	Win
May 8, 26	Home	UAI Urquiza	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Villa Dalmine	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Ituzaingó	1 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Excursionistas	17	9	5	3	22	11	+11	32
21	Villa San Carlos	17	3	5	9	19	25	-6	14

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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