UEFA Champions League
Match Analysis
Villarreal
Napoli
Villarreal
L
D
D
W
W
W
Napoli
W
W
D
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | Villarreal | 2 - 3 | December 17, 2022 |
| Napoli | Villarreal | 1 - 1 | February 25, 2016 |
| Villarreal | Napoli | 1 - 0 | February 18, 2016 |
| Villarreal | Napoli | 0 - 2 | December 7, 2011 |
| Napoli | Villarreal | 2 - 0 | September 27, 2011 |
Villarreal Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Alaves | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Atletico Madrid | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Racing Santander | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Galatasaray | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Levante | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | PSV Eindhoven | 1 - 3 | Win |
Napoli Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Genoa | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 12, 26 | Home | Aris Thessalonikis | 6 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Celta Vigo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Osasuna | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Carrarese | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Arezzo | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.88% likelihood that both Villarreal and Napoli will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Villarreal or Napoli to win
This prediction indicates that Villarreal has a 42.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.75 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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