Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu Wednesday 23rd September 2026 11:00 AM football predictions.

Emperor Cup

Sept. 23, 2026 6 days, 5 hours from now VS

Vissel Kobe Sagan Tosu

Vissel Kobe W W W W W L

Sagan Tosu L W D W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Vissel Kobe	Sagan Tosu	2 - 0	August 25, 2024
Sagan Tosu	Vissel Kobe	0 - 0	April 3, 2024
Vissel Kobe	Sagan Tosu	2 - 1	July 16, 2023
Sagan Tosu	Vissel Kobe	0 - 1	March 18, 2023
Sagan Tosu	Vissel Kobe	0 - 2	July 2, 2022
Vissel Kobe	Sagan Tosu	4 - 0	May 14, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 11, 26	Home	Kashima	2 - 1	Win
Sep 6, 26	Home	V-varen Nagasaki	3 - 1	Win
Sep 2, 26	Away	Tokyo Verdy	0 - 2	Win
Aug 29, 26	Home	Cerezo Osaka	1 - 0	Win
Aug 26, 26	Home	J.FC Miyazaki	2 - 1	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Yokohama F. Marinos	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 12, 26	Away	Imabari	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2 - 0	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Yokohama FC	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 26, 26	Home	Kataller Toyama	4 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Home	Tochigi City	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 16, 26	Away	Tokushima Vortis	0 - 0	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.36% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Vissel Kobe has a 60.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.92 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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