Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano Sunday 31st May 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Vitória de Sernache Louletano

Vitória de Sernache W D W D W L

Louletano W D L D W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Louletano	Vitória de Sernache	1 - 2	May 10, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Atlético Malveira	0 - 3	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Oliveira Hospital	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Louletano	1 - 2	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Atlético Malveira	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Oliveira Hospital	1 - 2	Win
Sep 20, 25	Home	Portimonense	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Oliveira Hospital	2 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Atlético Malveira	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Vitória de Sernache	1 - 2	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Oliveira Hospital	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Atlético Malveira	1 - 2	Win
Oct 19, 25	Away	Silves	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vitória de Sernache	5	3	2	0	7	2	+5	11
3	Louletano	5	2	2	1	7	6	+1	8

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.01% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Vitória de Sernache has a 46.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.71 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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