Vitória ES vs Real Noroeste Saturday 30th May 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Vitória ES Real Noroeste

Vitória ES W D W L W L

Real Noroeste D D W L L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Real Noroeste	Vitória ES	1 - 3	April 11, 2026
Vitória ES	Real Noroeste	2 - 0	July 9, 2023
Real Noroeste	Vitória ES	0 - 2	May 20, 2023
Vitória ES	Real Noroeste	1 - 1	October 31, 2020
Real Noroeste	Vitória ES	3 - 2	October 10, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Away	Rio Branco ES	0 - 2	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Porto BA	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	Democrata GV	2 - 1	Win
May 4, 26	Away	Democrata GV	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Porto BA	3 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Rio Branco ES	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Tombense	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Rio Branco ES	0 - 0	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Porto BA	1 - 2	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Porto BA	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Away	Rio Branco ES	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	Tombense	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
27	Vitória ES	8	4	1	3	11	7	+4	13
85	Real Noroeste	8	1	3	4	5	10	-5	6

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.41% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Vitória ES has a 48.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.44 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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