1st League - FBiH
Match Analysis
Vitez
Sloboda Tuzla
Vitez
D
L
L
W
L
L
Sloboda Tuzla
L
W
W
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Vitez are coming into this match in poor recent form, while Sloboda Tuzla have been performing strongly. Additionally, Sloboda Tuzla have a clear quality gap and have dominated recent meetings between the two sides, despite Vitez having a rest advantage. The model predicts an away win with a 44% probability, which is notably more confident in Sloboda Tuzla than the market odds suggest. The model also sees a slight edge toward 'over 2.5 goals' at 50%, aligning closely with the market view.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitez | Sloboda Tuzla | 1 - 2 | May 30, 2026 |
| Sloboda Tuzla | Vitez | 3 - 1 | November 8, 2025 |
| Sloboda Tuzla | Vitez | 2 - 0 | April 28, 2018 |
| Vitez | Sloboda Tuzla | 0 - 3 | March 17, 2018 |
| Sloboda Tuzla | Vitez | 4 - 0 | November 18, 2017 |
| Vitez | Sloboda Tuzla | 0 - 1 | August 12, 2017 |
Vitez Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Budućnost Banovići | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Sloboda Tuzla | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Tomislav | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Travnik | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Away | GOŠK Gabela | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Home | Čelik | 0 - 3 | Loss |
Sloboda Tuzla Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Bratstvo Gračanica | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Zvijezda 09 | 6 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 7, 26 | Home | TOŠK Tešanj | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Vitez | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Jedinstvo Bihać | 1 - 1 | Draw |
1st League - FBiH Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sloboda Tuzla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Vitez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.79% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Sloboda Tuzla to win
This prediction indicates that Sloboda Tuzla has a 43.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.97 %Most Likely Scorelines
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