Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma Thursday 17th September 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

First League

Sept. 17, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Volga Ulyanovsk Spartak Kostroma

Volga Ulyanovsk D L L W L W

Spartak Kostroma W L D W D D

STRENGTH

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Spartak Kostroma	Volga Ulyanovsk	1 - 1	June 28, 2026
Volga Ulyanovsk	Spartak Kostroma	1 - 0	March 28, 2026
Spartak Kostroma	Volga Ulyanovsk	1 - 1	September 29, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 26	Away	Nizhny Novgorod	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Home	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 16, 26	Away	PFC Sochi	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 9, 26	Away	KAMAZ	1 - 2	Win
Aug 2, 26	Home	Chelyabinsk	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	FK Neftekhimik	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 31, 26	Home	Rotor Volgograd	1 - 0	Win
Aug 21, 26	Away	Torpedo Moskva	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 17, 26	Home	FC UFA	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 9, 26	Away	Ska-khabarovsk	1 - 3	Win
Aug 1, 26	Home	Enisey	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Away	Tekstilshchik	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Spartak Kostroma	7	3	3	1	11	8	+3	12
13	Volga Ulyanovsk	8	2	1	5	9	14	-5	7

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.19% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Spartak Kostroma has a 35.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.88 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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