Kakkonen - Lohko C
Match Analysis
VPS II
Jaro 2
VPS II
L
W
L
W
W
L
Jaro 2
D
W
L
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The two sides are closely matched in overall quality, but VPS II have shown strong attacking form recently while Jaro 2 have poor recent form, giving the home side a slight edge despite the rest advantage for Jaro 2. The model predicts a home win with a 55% probability, which suggests more confidence in a VPS II victory than the market odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a good chance for both teams to score (64%) and for the match to exceed 1.5 and 2.5 goals (75% and 77% respectively), indicating an expectation of a relatively high-scoring game.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaro 2 | VPS II | 2 - 1 | May 21, 2026 |
VPS II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | JBK | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | SJK-juniorit | 6 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Kraft | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Huima / Urho | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | TP-47 | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | GBK | 3 - 4 | Loss |
Jaro 2 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | GBK | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | TP-47 | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Vaajakoski | 5 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 8, 26 | Home | SJK-juniorit | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Kraft | 8 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | JS Hercules | 2 - 1 | Win |
Kakkonen - Lohko C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jaro 2 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 25 |
| 6 | VPS II | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 28 | +8 | 19 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.38% likelihood that both VPS II and Jaro 2 will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
VPS II to win
This prediction indicates that VPS II has a 55.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.30 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 75.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 77.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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