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Veikkausliiga

July 4, 2026 4 days, 17 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

VPS Mariehamn
VPS D W W D L W
Mariehamn L L L L L L
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Mariehamn VPS 0 - 1 May 2, 2026
Mariehamn VPS 2 - 1 September 21, 2025
VPS Mariehamn 1 - 1 August 1, 2025
Mariehamn VPS 1 - 5 June 14, 2025
VPS Mariehamn 2 - 1 July 28, 2024
Mariehamn VPS 0 - 0 June 12, 2024

VPS Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Away Gnistan 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 23, 26 Home AC Oulu 5 - 1 Win
Jun 17, 26 Away SJK 1 - 2 Win
Jun 13, 26 Home KuPS 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Turku PS 1 - 0 Loss
May 22, 26 Home HJK helsinki 2 - 1 Win

Mariehamn Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Home Inter Turku 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 23, 26 Home HJK helsinki 0 - 4 Loss
Jun 18, 26 Away AC Oulu 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home Gnistan 0 - 3 Loss
May 30, 26 Away HJK helsinki 1 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Away FF Jaro 3 - 0 Loss

Veikkausliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 VPS 12 5 5 2 16 10 +6 20
12 Mariehamn 12 0 4 8 6 23 -17 4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.35% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
VPS to win
This prediction indicates that VPS has a 52.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.95 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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