Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Match Analysis
Vänersborgs FK
Ahlafors
Vänersborgs FK
W
L
L
W
L
L
Ahlafors
W
W
D
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ahlafors | Vänersborgs FK | 1 - 1 | April 10, 2026 |
| Vänersborgs FK | Ahlafors | 1 - 1 | September 5, 2025 |
| Ahlafors | Vänersborgs FK | 1 - 0 | June 13, 2025 |
| Ahlafors | Vänersborgs FK | 1 - 0 | August 30, 2024 |
| Vänersborgs FK | Ahlafors | 2 - 3 | May 3, 2024 |
| Vänersborgs FK | Ahlafors | 3 - 3 | July 30, 2022 |
Vänersborgs FK Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Vänersborgs IF | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Skara | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Herrestads | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Motala | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 18, 26 | Home | Stenungsund | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Husqvarna | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Ahlafors Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Grebbestad | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | IF Karlstad II | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | IFK Skövde | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Tord | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 18, 26 | Home | Skara | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 12, 26 | Away | Stenungsund | 0 - 4 | Win |
Division 2 - Norra Götaland Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ahlafors | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 35 | 21 | +14 | 27 |
| 10 | Vänersborgs FK | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 16 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.2% likelihood that both Vänersborgs FK and Ahlafors will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Ahlafors to win
This prediction indicates that Ahlafors has a 53.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.54 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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