Wanderers vs Progreso Sunday 12th July 2026 12:00 AM football predictions.

Wanderers Progreso

Wanderers D W D D W L

Progreso L W L L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Progreso	Wanderers	2 - 1	April 18, 2026
Progreso	Wanderers	2 - 0	September 21, 2025
Wanderers	Progreso	1 - 1	March 27, 2025
Progreso	Wanderers	0 - 0	November 10, 2024
Wanderers	Progreso	4 - 2	July 14, 2024
Wanderers	Progreso	2 - 0	May 4, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 5, 26	Home	Danubio	0 - 0	Draw
May 31, 26	Away	Juventud	2 - 5	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Deportivo Maldonado	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Albion FC	0 - 0	Draw
May 8, 26	Home	Liverpool Montevideo	1 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Juventud	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Home	Albion FC	1 - 2	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Danubio	1 - 2	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Atletico Torque	1 - 2	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Juventud	2 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Atletico Torque	2 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Cerro Largo	0 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Wanderers	19	7	5	7	22	24	-2	26
15	Progreso	19	3	4	12	16	30	-14	13

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.54% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Wanderers has a 39.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.50 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply