III Liga - Group 3 logo

III Liga - Group 3

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Warta Gorzów Stal Brzeg
Warta Gorzów W D D W L D
Stal Brzeg L W L D L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Warta Gorzów Stal Brzeg 2 - 1 March 22, 2025
Stal Brzeg Warta Gorzów 1 - 3 August 24, 2024
Stal Brzeg Warta Gorzów 2 - 0 June 3, 2023
Warta Gorzów Stal Brzeg 1 - 1 November 5, 2022
Stal Brzeg Warta Gorzów 2 - 1 April 30, 2022
Warta Gorzów Stal Brzeg 1 - 2 September 25, 2021

Warta Gorzów Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Odra Bytom Odrzański 0 - 1 Win
Aug 19, 26 Home Górnik Polkowice 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Barycz Sułów 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Carina Gubin 2 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away ROW Rybnik 5 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Flota Świnoujście 1 - 1 Draw

Stal Brzeg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Away Kluczbork 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 23, 26 Home Rakow II 3 - 0 Win
Aug 19, 26 Away SKRA Częstochowa 3 - 2 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Home Sparta Katowice 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 7, 26 Away Ślęza Wrocław 5 - 1 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Home Goczałkowice Zdrój 1 - 1 Draw

III Liga - Group 3 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Warta Gorzów 5 2 2 1 6 8 -2 8
13 Stal Brzeg 5 1 2 2 8 10 -2 5

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.03% likelihood that both Warta Gorzów and Stal Brzeg will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Warta Gorzów to win
This prediction indicates that Warta Gorzów has a 51.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.44 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]