Premier Division
Match Analysis
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
D
W
W
D
D
W
Dundalk
L
L
D
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk | Waterford | 2 - 3 | June 26, 2026 |
| Waterford | Dundalk | 3 - 3 | May 4, 2026 |
| Dundalk | Waterford | 5 - 0 | March 13, 2026 |
| Waterford | Dundalk | 2 - 1 | September 13, 2024 |
| Dundalk | Waterford | 0 - 2 | June 28, 2024 |
| Waterford | Dundalk | 4 - 1 | May 10, 2024 |
Waterford Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Sligo Rovers | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Bohemians | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Shelbourne | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Galway United | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | St Patrick's Athl. | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | Derry City | 2 - 4 | Win |
Dundalk Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Galway United | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Shamrock Rovers | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Sligo Rovers | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | St Patrick's Athl. | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Drogheda United | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | Shelbourne | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Premier Division Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dundalk | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42 | 41 | +1 | 37 |
| 8 | Waterford | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 28 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.19% likelihood that both Waterford and Dundalk will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Waterford or Dundalk to win
This prediction indicates that Waterford has a 40.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.52 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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