Watford vs Southampton Sunday 16th August 2026 03:30 PM football predictions.

Watford Southampton

Watford L W D L L L

Southampton W W W D D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Southampton	Watford	1 - 0	February 7, 2026
Watford	Southampton	2 - 2	August 30, 2025
Southampton	Watford	3 - 2	April 13, 2024
Southampton	Watford	3 - 0	February 6, 2024
Watford	Southampton	1 - 1	January 28, 2024
Watford	Southampton	1 - 1	December 9, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Home	Fiorentina	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	Hansa Rostock	3 - 0	Win
Jul 14, 26	Away	Barnet	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Away	Boreham Wood	2 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Coventry	0 - 4	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Middlesbrough	5 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Preußen Münster	1 - 2	Win
Jul 24, 26	Away	Eintracht Braunschweig	0 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Eastleigh	1 - 3	Win
May 12, 26	Home	Middlesbrough	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Middlesbrough	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Preston	1 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Southampton	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Watford	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Southampton has a 49.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.47 %

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