Championship
Match Analysis
West Brom
Birmingham
West Brom
L
D
W
W
D
L
Birmingham
D
W
L
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Birmingham has had the upper hand in recent meetings between these two teams. The model predicts a home win with a 37% probability, which is notably less confident than what the current market odds imply for West Brom. Additionally, the model suggests there's a 51% chance that both teams will score, aligning fairly closely with the market view on that outcome. Finally, the model leans toward 'over' for the Over/Under 2.5 goals market at 51%, showing slightly more confidence than the odds suggest.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | West Brom | 0 - 0 | February 10, 2026 |
| West Brom | Birmingham | 1 - 1 | November 26, 2025 |
| Birmingham | West Brom | 4 - 1 | August 3, 2024 |
| West Brom | Birmingham | 1 - 0 | February 3, 2024 |
| Birmingham | West Brom | 3 - 1 | October 6, 2023 |
| Birmingham | West Brom | 2 - 0 | February 10, 2023 |
West Brom Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 26 | Away | Wolves | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | QPR | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 9, 26 | Away | Derby | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Watford | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 2, 26 | Home | Charlton | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Middlesbrough | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Birmingham Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Middlesbrough | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Derby | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 9, 26 | Away | Norwich | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Wolves | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 1, 26 | Home | Southampton | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Wrexham | 1 - 2 | Win |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 11 |
Predictions
West Brom to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that West Brom has a 36.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.54 %Most Likely Scorelines
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