National League - South
Match Analysis
Weston-super-Mare
Chesham United
Weston-super-Mare
W
L
D
L
L
D
Chesham United
D
L
L
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chesham United | Weston-super-Mare | 4 - 0 | March 7, 2026 |
| Weston-super-Mare | Chesham United | 1 - 0 | September 20, 2025 |
| Weston-super-Mare | Chesham United | 1 - 1 | March 22, 2025 |
| Chesham United | Weston-super-Mare | 1 - 2 | August 20, 2024 |
Weston-super-Mare Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Taunton Town | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Torquay | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Clevedon Town | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 7, 26 | Home | Bristol Rovers | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Away | AFC Hornchurch | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 28, 26 | Away | Hemel Hempstead Town | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Chesham United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Dover | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Apr 18, 26 | Home | Chelmsford City | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Apr 11, 26 | Away | Bath City | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Apr 6, 26 | Home | Slough Town | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 3, 26 | Away | Hemel Hempstead Town | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Mar 31, 26 | Away | Enfield Town | 3 - 4 | Win |
National League - South Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Chesham United | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Weston-super-Mare | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Weston-super-Mare to win
This prediction indicates that Weston-super-Mare has a 51.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.42 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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