Ekstraklasa
Match Analysis
Widzew Łódź
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
W
D
D
W
W
W
Korona Kielce
D
W
L
L
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Widzew Łódź with a 47% probability, which is notably more confident in the home side than the market odds suggest. Widzew Łódź have strong recent form and a modest quality edge, but Korona Kielce has dominated their recent meetings, creating some uncertainty. The model also sees a 51% chance that both teams will score, slightly more likely than what the market odds imply, while expecting fewer goals overall, favoring "under" outcomes on both the 1.5 and 2.5 goals lines.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce | Widzew Łódź | 1 - 0 | May 15, 2026 |
| Widzew Łódź | Korona Kielce | 1 - 3 | November 23, 2025 |
| Korona Kielce | Widzew Łódź | 2 - 1 | April 11, 2025 |
| Widzew Łódź | Korona Kielce | 0 - 1 | October 4, 2024 |
| Widzew Łódź | Korona Kielce | 3 - 1 | April 1, 2024 |
| Korona Kielce | Widzew Łódź | 1 - 1 | September 22, 2023 |
Widzew Łódź Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Jagiellonia | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Wisla Plock | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Motor Lublin | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Puszcza Niepołomice | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 13, 26 | Home | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf | 4 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Besiktas | 2 - 0 | Win |
Korona Kielce Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Legia Warszawa | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Aris | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Jagiellonia | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Nieciecza | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Stal Rzeszów | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 9, 26 | Home | Omonia Nicosia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Ekstraklasa Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Widzew Łódź | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 5 |
| 15 | Korona Kielce | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Predictions
Widzew Łódź to win
This prediction indicates that Widzew Łódź has a 46.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.97 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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