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EFL Trophy

Aug. 18, 2026 1 week from now VS

Match Analysis

Wigan Aston Villa U21
Wigan D L D W L L
Aston Villa U21 W L L L D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Wigan Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Barnsley 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Grimsby 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Away Southport 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away AFC Fylde 0 - 3 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Port Vale 1 - 3 Loss
May 2, 26 Away Stevenage 1 - 0 Loss

Aston Villa U21 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 21, 26 Away Tamworth 1 - 2 Win
Oct 28, 25 Away Leyton Orient 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 30, 25 Away Peterborough 4 - 2 Loss
Sep 16, 25 Away Crawley Town 4 - 2 Loss
Aug 1, 25 Away Rushall Olympic 2 - 2 Draw
Jan 14, 25 Home Bradford 1 - 3 Loss

Predictions

Wigan to win
This prediction indicates that Wigan has a 64.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.29 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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