Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen Saturday 15th August 2026 05:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Willem II NEC Nijmegen

Willem II W D L W L W

NEC Nijmegen L L W W L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
NEC Nijmegen	Willem II	1 - 1	May 3, 2025
Willem II	NEC Nijmegen	4 - 1	December 22, 2024
Willem II	NEC Nijmegen	0 - 1	December 22, 2021
NEC Nijmegen	Willem II	0 - 0	September 12, 2021
Willem II	NEC Nijmegen	0 - 1	January 15, 2017
NEC Nijmegen	Willem II	0 - 0	September 25, 2016

Willem II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	KV Mechelen	1 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	FC Eindhoven	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	Quick Boys	1 - 2	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	FC Volendam	1 - 2	Win
May 20, 26	Home	FC Volendam	1 - 2	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Almere City FC	2 - 0	Win

NEC Nijmegen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Home	Sevilla	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	SV Elversberg	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Al-Fayha	7 - 0	Win
Jul 14, 26	Home	V-varen Nagasaki	3 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Anderlecht	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Home	MSV Duisburg	2 - 3	Loss

Eredivisie Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	NEC Nijmegen	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Willem II	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.04% likelihood that both Willem II and NEC Nijmegen will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

NEC Nijmegen to win

This prediction indicates that NEC Nijmegen has a 43.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.21 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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