Wingate & Finchley vs Hemel Hempstead Town Tuesday 22nd September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

FA Cup

Sept. 22, 2026 1 day, 14 hours from now VS

Wingate & Finchley Hemel Hempstead Town

Wingate & Finchley D W D L L W

Hemel Hempstead Town D D D D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Hemel Hempstead Town	Wingate & Finchley	1 - 1	September 19, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	Hemel Hempstead Town	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 8, 26	Away	Felixstowe & Walton Utd	0 - 2	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Felixstowe & Walton Utd	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 14, 26	Away	Kingstonian	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 13, 25	Away	Dorking Wanderers	7 - 2	Loss
Sep 2, 25	Home	Carshalton Athletic	3 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Wingate & Finchley	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Home	Tonbridge Angels	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 8, 26	Away	Ebbsfleet United	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Home	Farnham Town	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 31, 26	Away	Folkestone Invicta	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Weston-super-Mare	1 - 3	Loss

This prediction indicates that Wingate & Finchley has a 39.78% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.07 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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