Worthing vs Barrow Saturday 12th September 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

National League

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Worthing Barrow

Worthing L W L W W W

Barrow L D L L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 28, 26	Away	Tamworth	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Wealdstone	1 - 0	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	Forest Green	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	Carlisle	2 - 3	Win
Aug 1, 26	Home	Horsham	3 - 0	Win
Jul 28, 26	Home	Brighton U21	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 28, 26	Home	Yeovil Town	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Harrogate Town	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	AFC Hornchurch	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	Hartlepool	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Away	Morecambe	0 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Blackpool	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Worthing	3	2	0	1	5	4	+1	6
20	Barrow	3	0	1	2	3	6	-3	1

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Worthing has a 68.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.22 %

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