Wrexham vs Leeds Saturday 25th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Wrexham Leeds

Wrexham D D L W W L

Leeds L W D W L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	Wisla Krakow	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Middlesbrough	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Coventry	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 21, 26	Away	Oxford United	0 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Stoke City	2 - 0	Win
Apr 12, 26	Away	Birmingham	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Away	West Ham	3 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Brighton	1 - 0	Win
May 11, 26	Away	Tottenham	1 - 1	Draw
May 1, 26	Home	Burnley	3 - 1	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Chelsea	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 22, 26	Away	Bournemouth	2 - 2	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Leeds	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Wrexham	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Leeds has a 54.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.55 %

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