Championship
Match Analysis
Wrexham
Watford
Wrexham
L
L
L
W
W
D
Watford
L
W
D
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | Wrexham | 3 - 1 | March 17, 2026 |
| Wrexham | Watford | 2 - 2 | December 13, 2025 |
Wrexham Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Middlesbrough | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Sunderland | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Liverpool | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Leeds | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Manchester United | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Wisla Krakow | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Watford Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Fiorentina | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Hansa Rostock | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Barnet | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Boreham Wood | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Coventry | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Middlesbrough | 5 - 1 | Loss |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Watford | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Wrexham | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Wrexham to win
This prediction indicates that Wrexham has a 51.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.37 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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