Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro Sunday 04th October 2026 05:00 AM football predictions.

Liga Nacional

Oct. 4, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Xelajú Deportivo San Pedro

Xelajú D L D W W L

Deportivo San Pedro D D W D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Deportivo San Pedro	Xelajú	1 - 0	July 25, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Away	Suchitepéquez	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Away	Guastatoya	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 11, 26	Home	Cobán Imperial	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 6, 26	Away	Marquense	0 - 4	Win
Aug 31, 26	Home	Mixco	4 - 1	Win
Aug 23, 26	Away	Municipal	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Home	Cobán Imperial	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Away	Marquense	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 9, 26	Home	Mixco	2 - 0	Win
Sep 6, 26	Away	Municipal	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 30, 26	Home	Antigua GFC	4 - 3	Win
Aug 24, 26	Away	Malacateco	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Deportivo San Pedro	10	5	3	2	13	8	+5	18
7	Xelajú	9	3	3	3	16	11	+5	12

This prediction indicates that Xelajú has a 51.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.22 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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