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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 28, 2026
2 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

XV de Piracicaba América RJ
XV de Piracicaba D L D D W W
América RJ D W D L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
América RJ XV de Piracicaba 1 - 1 June 20, 2026

XV de Piracicaba Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Away América RJ 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 7, 26 Away Nova Iguaçu 1 - 0 Loss
May 30, 26 Home Noroeste 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Velo Clube 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Away CFRJ / Maricá 1 - 2 Win
May 9, 26 Home Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1 - 0 Win

América RJ Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Home XV de Piracicaba 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Home Água Santa 1 - 0 Win
May 30, 26 Away Portuguesa RJ 2 - 2 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Portuguesa 4 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Madureira 3 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Away Pouso Alegre 3 - 0 Loss

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
24 XV de Piracicaba 11 4 6 1 15 10 +5 18
62 América RJ 11 3 4 4 12 22 -10 13

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.95% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

XV de Piracicaba to win
This prediction indicates that XV de Piracicaba has a 47.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.93 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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