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League One

May 30, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago
2 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Yanbian Longding Changchun Yatai
Yanbian Longding W L D D D D
Changchun Yatai L D W L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Yanbian Longding Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Away Guangzhou E-Power 3 - 4 Win
May 16, 26 Away Shanghai Second 1 - 0 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Guangxi Hengchen 1 - 1 Draw
May 2, 26 Home Wuxi Wugou 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home Shaanxi Union 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 18, 26 Home Ningbo Professional 0 - 0 Draw

Changchun Yatai Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Home Shenzhen Juniors 0 - 4 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Xi'an Ronghai 1 - 1 Draw
May 9, 26 Away Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2 - 3 Win
May 3, 26 Away Ningbo Professional 3 - 1 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Home Guangzhou E-Power 1 - 2 Loss
Apr 18, 26 Away Dongguan United 1 - 3 Win

League One Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Yanbian Longding 9 3 5 1 11 7 +4 14
10 Changchun Yatai 9 4 0 5 12 16 -4 12

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.54% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Yanbian Longding to win
This prediction indicates that Yanbian Longding has a 61.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.08 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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