Yanbian Longding vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring Saturday 04th July 2026 01:00 PM football predictions.

Yanbian Longding Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Yanbian Longding W L D W L D

Heilongjiang Lava Spring D L D D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Heilongjiang Lava Spring	Yanbian Longding	2 - 1	October 4, 2025
Yanbian Longding	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	3 - 0	May 26, 2025
Heilongjiang Lava Spring	Yanbian Longding	0 - 1	September 21, 2024
Yanbian Longding	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	3 - 2	May 4, 2024
Heilongjiang Lava Spring	Yanbian Longding	1 - 1	October 10, 2023
Yanbian Longding	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	1 - 1	June 18, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Dongguan United	0 - 2	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	Nantong Zhiyun	2 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Changchun Yatai	2 - 2	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Guangzhou E-Power	3 - 4	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Shanghai Second	1 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Guangxi Hengchen	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Home	Wuxi Wugou	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Home	Guangzhou E-Power	1 - 3	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Meizhou Kejia	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Dongguan United	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Shanghai Zetian	4 - 2	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Changchun Yatai	2 - 3	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Yanbian Longding	12	4	6	2	15	11	+4	18
8	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	11	3	6	2	15	15	0	15

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.33% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Yanbian Longding has a 36.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.33 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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