Yate Town vs Barry Town Saturday 11th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Yate Town Barry Town

Yate Town D D L L W W

Barry Town D L W D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Yate Town	Barry Town	0 - 3	July 26, 2025

Yate Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 2, 25	Home	Westbury United	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 30, 25	Away	Westbury United	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 26, 25	Home	Barry Town	0 - 3	Loss
Aug 31, 24	Away	Hungerford Town	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 17, 24	Away	Kidlington	0 - 4	Win
Aug 3, 24	Home	Holyport	2 - 0	Win

Barry Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 26, 26	Home	Haverfordwest County AFC	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	The New Saints	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Away	Penybont	0 - 2	Win
Mar 29, 26	Away	GAP Connah S Quay FC	1 - 1	Draw
Mar 21, 26	Home	Caernarfon Town	2 - 1	Win
Mar 14, 26	Away	Colwyn Bay	3 - 1	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1629	Barry Town	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1629	Yate Town	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.83% likelihood that both Yate Town and Barry Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Barry Town to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Barry Town has a 37.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.94 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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