Yeovil Town vs Carlisle Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Yeovil Town Carlisle

Yeovil Town D L W D W L

Carlisle L W D W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Carlisle	Yeovil Town	3 - 0	February 21, 2026
Yeovil Town	Carlisle	1 - 1	October 25, 2025
Yeovil Town	Carlisle	0 - 0	May 4, 2019
Carlisle	Yeovil Town	0 - 1	October 27, 2018
Yeovil Town	Carlisle	0 - 1	February 24, 2018
Carlisle	Yeovil Town	4 - 0	November 11, 2017

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Away	Farnham Town	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Away	Wycombe	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Cardiff City U21	1 - 0	Win
Jul 14, 26	Away	Merthyr Town	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Away	Melksham Town	1 - 4	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Solihull Moors	1 - 4	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Salford City	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Away	Darlington 1883	2 - 4	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Boreham Wood	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Brackley Town	3 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Truro City	0 - 1	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Sutton Utd	3 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Carlisle	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Yeovil Town	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Carlisle has a 57.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.67 %

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