York United vs HFX Wanderers FC Sunday 16th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

York United HFX Wanderers FC

York United L D L L L L

HFX Wanderers FC L D W L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
HFX Wanderers FC	York United	1 - 1	May 23, 2026
York United	HFX Wanderers FC	2 - 2	April 11, 2026
HFX Wanderers FC	York United	1 - 1	October 22, 2025
HFX Wanderers FC	York United	1 - 1	October 4, 2025
HFX Wanderers FC	York United	4 - 0	September 1, 2025
York United	HFX Wanderers FC	2 - 0	May 31, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Forge	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Away	Atlético Ottawa	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Vancouver FC	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 10, 26	Home	Cavalry FC	1 - 5	Loss
Jun 7, 26	Home	Forge	1 - 4	Loss
May 29, 26	Away	Supra du Quebec	3 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 24, 26	Home	Supra du Quebec	2 - 3	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Cavalry FC	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 5, 26	Away	Pacific FC	1 - 2	Win
Jul 1, 26	Home	Atlético Ottawa	1 - 3	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Home	Pacific FC	5 - 2	Win
Jun 10, 26	Away	Forge	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	HFX Wanderers FC	15	4	4	7	20	24	-4	16
7	York United	12	3	4	5	15	25	-10	13

This prediction indicates that York United has a 44.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.50 %

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