York vs Bristol Rovers Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

York Bristol Rovers

York L D L L W D

Bristol Rovers D D L W W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
York	Bristol Rovers	1 - 4	April 30, 2016
Bristol Rovers	York	2 - 1	December 12, 2015
York	Bristol Rovers	0 - 0	January 18, 2014
York	Bristol Rovers	2 - 3	November 19, 2013
Bristol Rovers	York	3 - 3	November 8, 2013
Bristol Rovers	York	3 - 2	August 24, 2013

York Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Peterborough	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 24, 26	Home	Al-Ettifaq	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	Sunderland	1 - 5	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Away	Pickering Town	4 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Barnsley	2 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Rochdale	1 - 1	Draw

Bristol Rovers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 21, 26	Away	Forest Green	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	Portsmouth	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 14, 26	Home	Leicester	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Salisbury	2 - 3	Win
Jul 7, 26	Away	Weston-super-Mare	0 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Notts County	1 - 1	Draw

League Two Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Bristol Rovers	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	York	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.72% likelihood that both York and Bristol Rovers will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

York to win

This prediction indicates that York has a 55.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.22 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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