York vs Crawley Town Monday 03rd August 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

York Crawley Town

York L L W D W W

Crawley Town D D D L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
York	Crawley Town	2 - 2	March 25, 2016
Crawley Town	York	1 - 0	October 31, 2015

York Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Sunderland	1 - 5	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Away	Pickering Town	4 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Barnsley	2 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Rochdale	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Yeovil Town	3 - 0	Win
Apr 11, 26	Away	Tamworth	0 - 1	Win

Crawley Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Home	Salford City	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Accrington ST	3 - 3	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Shrewsbury	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Away	Bristol Rovers	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Home	Grimsby	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Away	Newport County	0 - 2	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.64% likelihood that both York and Crawley Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

York to win

This prediction indicates that York has a 73.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.54 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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