EFL Trophy
Match Analysis
York
Newcastle United U21
York
W
L
L
D
L
L
Newcastle United U21
L
D
L
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
York Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Bristol Rovers | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Crawley Town | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Peterborough | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Al-Ettifaq | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Sunderland | 1 - 5 | Loss |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Pickering Town | 4 - 2 | Loss |
Newcastle United U21 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 25 | Away | Harrogate Town | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Oct 15, 25 | Away | Mansfield Town | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 2, 25 | Away | Huddersfield | 6 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 3, 25 | Away | South Shields | 0 - 5 | Win |
| Oct 29, 24 | Away | Mansfield Town | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Oct 8, 24 | Away | Rotherham | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.65% likelihood that both York and Newcastle United U21 will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.York to win
This prediction indicates that York has a 69.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.10 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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