Premijer Liga
Match Analysis
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
L
W
L
D
L
L
FK Sarajevo
W
D
L
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and FK Sarajevo are showing poor recent form, but FK Sarajevo has a clear quality gap in their favor and has dominated recent meetings between the two teams. The model predicts an away win with a 38% probability, which aligns with FK Sarajevo's historical dominance in these matchups, even if both teams are currently in poor form. Additionally, the model sees goals as typically hard to come by in recent meetings, suggesting a low-scoring game overall, with a 40% chance that fewer than 2.5 goals will be scored.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Sarajevo | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 1 - 0 | May 25, 2026 |
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | FK Sarajevo | 0 - 0 | April 4, 2026 |
| FK Sarajevo | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 4 - 0 | December 7, 2025 |
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | FK Sarajevo | 2 - 0 | September 27, 2025 |
| FK Sarajevo | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 2 - 1 | April 27, 2025 |
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | FK Sarajevo | 0 - 0 | February 22, 2025 |
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Zrinjski | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | BSK Banja Luka | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Sloboda Tuzla | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Bistrica | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Karpaty | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| May 25, 26 | Away | FK Sarajevo | 1 - 0 | Loss |
FK Sarajevo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | BSK Banja Luka | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Radnik Bijeljina | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | Inter Turku | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 9, 26 | Home | Inter Turku | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Zrinjski | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 1, 26 | Away | Sutjeska | 1 - 2 | Win |
Premijer Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FK Sarajevo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 5 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.61% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.FK Sarajevo to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that FK Sarajevo has a 38.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.07 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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