Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Sloboda Tuzla Saturday 01st August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Sloboda Tuzla

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo D L L D L W

Sloboda Tuzla W W W D D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo are favored to win despite their recent poor form, largely because they hold a clear quality advantage over Sloboda Tuzla and have historically dominated meetings between the two sides. They also benefit from better rest heading into this friendly, which could help them overcome their current slump. However, Sloboda Tuzla's strong recent form keeps the game competitive—the model gives them a reasonable chance of scoring, which is reflected in the roughly even odds on both teams to score.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	Sloboda Tuzla	3 - 2	May 4, 2025
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	Sloboda Tuzla	3 - 0	November 30, 2024
Sloboda Tuzla	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	0 - 1	August 24, 2024
Sloboda Tuzla	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1 - 2	May 28, 2023
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	Sloboda Tuzla	1 - 0	March 4, 2023
Sloboda Tuzla	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1 - 1	September 10, 2022

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 21, 26	Home	Bistrica	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Away	Karpaty	4 - 0	Loss
May 25, 26	Away	FK Sarajevo	1 - 0	Loss
May 21, 26	Home	Siroki Brijeg	2 - 2	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Borac Banja Luka	1 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Sloga Doboj	3 - 0	Win

Sloboda Tuzla Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Zvijezda 09	6 - 0	Win
Jun 7, 26	Home	TOŠK Tešanj	2 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Vitez	1 - 2	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Jedinstvo Bihać	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Stupčanica Olovo	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Bratstvo Gračanica	1 - 0	Win

Predictions

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo to win

This prediction indicates that Zeljeznicar Sarajevo has a 58.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.99 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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