Premijer Liga
Match Analysis
Zrinjski
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Zrinjski
W
W
D
L
W
W
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
W
L
D
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model sees a clear quality gap favoring Zrinjski, with the home side in strong recent form and a history of dominance in recent meetings against Zeljeznicar Sarajevo, though Zeljeznicar do have a rest advantage. The model predicts a home win with a 72% probability, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model expects an open game with both teams scoring less than 1.5 goals (over at 59%) and less than 2.5 goals (over at 56%), aligning reasonably with the market view on these points.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zrinjski | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 2 - 0 | May 1, 2026 |
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Zrinjski | 1 - 3 | March 2, 2026 |
| Zrinjski | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 2 - 1 | November 9, 2025 |
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Zrinjski | 2 - 0 | August 24, 2025 |
| Zrinjski | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 5 - 0 | April 19, 2025 |
| Zrinjski | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 1 - 0 | February 16, 2025 |
Zrinjski Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Radnik Bijeljina | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Čelik | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Valur Reykjavik | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Valur Reykjavik | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Posušje | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | Arsenal Tivat | 6 - 0 | Win |
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | BSK Banja Luka | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Sloboda Tuzla | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Bistrica | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Karpaty | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| May 25, 26 | Away | FK Sarajevo | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 21, 26 | Home | Siroki Brijeg | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Premijer Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zrinjski | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 6 |
| 5 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Zrinjski to win
This prediction indicates that Zrinjski has a 72.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.76 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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