1st League - FBiH logo

1st League - FBiH

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Zvijezda Gradačac Sloboda Tuzla
Zvijezda Gradačac L L W D W
Sloboda Tuzla W D L W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Zvijezda Gradačac Form (Last 5 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Posušje 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away TOŠK Tešanj 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Away Zvijezda 09 0 - 6 Win
Jul 10, 26 Away Čelik 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 21, 22 Home Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 4 - 3 Win

Sloboda Tuzla Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 23, 26 Home Tomislav 3 - 0 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away Vitez 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Bratstvo Gračanica 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0 - 3 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Zvijezda 09 6 - 0 Win
Jun 7, 26 Home TOŠK Tešanj 2 - 0 Win

1st League - FBiH Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Sloboda Tuzla 2 1 1 0 3 0 +3 4
14 Zvijezda Gradačac 2 0 0 2 0 2 -2 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.21% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Zvijezda Gradačac to win
This prediction indicates that Zvijezda Gradačac has a 40.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.98 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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