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Challenge League
Étoile Carouge logo Étoile Carouge
Sept. 11, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
FC Winterthur logo FC Winterthur

Match Analysis

Étoile Carouge FC Winterthur
Étoile Carouge D L D W L W
FC Winterthur W W L D D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Étoile Carouge Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 21, 26 Away Stade Nyonnais 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 7, 26 Home Neuchatel Xamax FC 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Away Yverdon Sport 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 24, 26 Home FC Aarau 3 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away BSC Young Boys 5 - 0 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Servette FC 1 - 2 Win

FC Winterthur Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 21, 26 Away Rapperswil 0 - 2 Win
Aug 7, 26 Home FC WIL 1900 5 - 0 Win
Jul 31, 26 Away SC Kriens 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 24, 26 Home Yverdon Sport 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 17, 26 Home Union Berlin 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 14, 26 Home Brühl 1 - 1 Draw

Challenge League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 FC Winterthur 4 2 1 1 9 4 +5 7
6 Étoile Carouge 4 1 2 1 4 2 +2 5

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.61% likelihood that both Étoile Carouge and FC Winterthur will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Étoile Carouge or FC Winterthur to win
This prediction indicates that Étoile Carouge has a 38.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.79 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Challenge League

SC Kriens vs Stade Nyonnais 12 hours from now · 8:30 p.m. › FC Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax FC 13 hours from now · 9:15 p.m. › Étoile Carouge vs Rapperswil 13 hours from now · 9:15 p.m. › Yverdon Sport vs FC WIL 1900 12 hours from now · 8:30 p.m. › FC Winterthur vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 12 hours from now · 8:30 p.m. ›