Šiauliai vs Panevėžys Monday 17th August 2026 06:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Šiauliai Panevėžys

Šiauliai L L L L L L

Panevėžys D D D L D L

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Panevėžys	Šiauliai	3 - 2	June 20, 2026
Šiauliai	Panevėžys	3 - 1	April 18, 2026
Šiauliai	Panevėžys	3 - 3	October 5, 2025
Panevėžys	Šiauliai	2 - 0	July 20, 2025
Šiauliai	Panevėžys	2 - 1	June 1, 2025
Panevėžys	Šiauliai	1 - 3	March 2, 2025

Šiauliai Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 3, 26	Home	Banga	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 24, 26	Home	Hegelmann Litauen	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Kauno Žalgiris	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Home	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 29, 26	Home	TransINVEST Vilnius	1 - 3	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Panevėžys	3 - 2	Loss

Panevėžys Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 3, 26	Home	Džiugas Telšiai	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 30, 26	Away	FK Tobol Kostanay	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 23, 26	Home	FK Tobol Kostanay	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Away	Kauno Žalgiris	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Hegelmann Litauen	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 29, 26	Home	Suduva Marijampole	1 - 2	Loss

A Lyga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Panevėžys	21	6	4	11	20	38	-18	22
9	Šiauliai	23	3	8	12	21	44	-23	17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.01% likelihood that both Šiauliai and Panevėžys will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Panevėžys to win

This prediction indicates that Panevėžys has a 47.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.49 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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