Super Liga
Match Analysis
Železničar Pančevo
FK Crvena Zvezda
Železničar Pančevo
W
L
W
L
D
D
FK Crvena Zvezda
W
D
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for FK Crvena Zvezda with a 74% probability. The model sees Crvena Zvezda as clearly stronger, noting their dominant recent meetings and strong attacking form, which aligns with the significant quality gap in their favor. Despite Železničar Pančevo having a rest advantage and moderate recent form, the model believes Crvena Zvezda's superior quality and recent dominance will lead to victory. The market odds also reflect Crvena Zvezda's favoritism, though the model's confidence appears slightly higher than what the odds suggest.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Železničar Pančevo | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 - 2 | April 22, 2026 |
| Železničar Pančevo | FK Crvena Zvezda | 0 - 3 | February 14, 2026 |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | Železničar Pančevo | 7 - 1 | September 14, 2025 |
| Železničar Pančevo | FK Crvena Zvezda | 1 - 3 | February 26, 2025 |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | Železničar Pančevo | 2 - 1 | September 27, 2024 |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | Železničar Pančevo | 3 - 0 | April 14, 2024 |
Železničar Pančevo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 26 | Home | Macva | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 4, 26 | Away | Novi Pazar | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Radnik Surdulica | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Vojvodina | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | OFK Beograd | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Mladost Lucani | 0 - 0 | Draw |
FK Crvena Zvezda Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | IMT Novi Beograd | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 10, 26 | Away | Radnik Surdulica | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | FK Partizan | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Zemun | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 27, 26 | Away | Plzen | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Cukaricki | 4 - 0 | Win |
Super Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 8 | Železničar Pančevo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 11 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.04% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.FK Crvena Zvezda to win
This prediction indicates that FK Crvena Zvezda has a 73.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.69 %Most Likely Scorelines
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