Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Match Analysis
Águilas
Alcorcon
Águilas
W
L
L
L
W
W
Alcorcon
L
D
W
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Águilas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Lorca Deportiva | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Almeria | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 3, 25 | Home | Almeria | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Oct 30, 24 | Home | Castellón | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 24 | Home | Lorca Deportiva | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 10, 24 | Home | Real Murcia | 3 - 0 | Win |
Alcorcon Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Mérida AD | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 12, 26 | Home | Rayo Majadahonda | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Getafe II | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Sevilla Atletico | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Marbella | 6 - 2 | Win |
| May 8, 26 | Away | FC Cartagena | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Alcorcon | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Águilas | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.66% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Alcorcon to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Alcorcon has a 36.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.33 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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