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Premijer Liga
Čelik logo Čelik
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Velež logo Velež

Match Analysis

Čelik Velež
Čelik L L W D D W
Velež L L L W D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Čelik Velež 0 - 2 October 25, 2019
Velež Čelik 1 - 2 August 3, 2019

Čelik Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Home Siroki Brijeg 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Away Zrinjski 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Home Zvijezda 09 4 - 0 Win
Jul 10, 26 Home Zvijezda Gradačac 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Away GOŠK Gabela 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Igman Konjic 4 - 0 Win

Velež Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away Borac Banja Luka 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 30, 26 Home Dunajska Streda 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 23, 26 Away Dunajska Streda 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 16, 26 Away Milsami Orhei 0 - 1 Win
Jul 9, 26 Home Milsami Orhei 1 - 1 Draw
May 26, 26 Away Zrinjski 3 - 0 Loss

Premijer Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Čelik 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
10 Velež 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.21% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Velež to win
This prediction indicates that Velež has a 41.55% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.49 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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