Chelsea vs Real Sociedad Saturday 15th August 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Chelsea Real Sociedad

Chelsea W L W L D L

Real Sociedad L W W D L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Chelsea Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Western Sydney Wanderers	6 - 4	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Sunderland	2 - 1	Loss
May 19, 26	Home	Tottenham	2 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Manchester City	0 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Liverpool	1 - 1	Draw
May 4, 26	Home	Nottingham Forest	1 - 3	Loss

Real Sociedad Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Away	Toulouse	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 28, 26	Away	Aston Villa	2 - 4	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Wolves	1 - 2	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Racing Santander	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Home	PAU	0 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Espanyol	1 - 1	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.98% likelihood that both Chelsea and Real Sociedad will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Chelsea to win

This prediction indicates that Chelsea has a 55.71% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.32 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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