Primera División
Match Analysis
A. Italiano
Universidad de Chile
A. Italiano
D
D
L
W
W
L
Universidad de Chile
W
D
W
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Chile | A. Italiano | 0 - 0 | January 30, 2026 |
| Universidad de Chile | A. Italiano | 1 - 3 | August 17, 2025 |
| A. Italiano | Universidad de Chile | 1 - 1 | March 14, 2025 |
| A. Italiano | Universidad de Chile | 1 - 0 | July 28, 2024 |
| Universidad de Chile | A. Italiano | 1 - 0 | February 24, 2024 |
| Universidad de Chile | A. Italiano | 2 - 0 | October 2, 2023 |
A. Italiano Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | D. La Serena | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 1, 26 | Away | Palestino | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 27, 26 | Away | Olimpia | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Cobresal | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 19, 26 | Home | Barracas Central | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Coquimbo Unido | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Universidad de Chile Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 26 | Home | O'Higgins | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Union La Calera | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Concepción | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Cobresal | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | U. Catolica | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 18, 26 | Away | Everton de Vina | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Universidad de Chile | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 21 |
| 15 | A. Italiano | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
Predictions
Universidad de Chile to win
This prediction indicates that Universidad de Chile has a 44.32% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.55 %Most Likely Scorelines
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