Arsenal vs FC Vitebsk Sunday 12th July 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Arsenal FC Vitebsk

Arsenal D W W W L L

FC Vitebsk D L W L L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Vitebsk	Arsenal	1 - 0	October 4, 2025
Arsenal	FC Vitebsk	1 - 1	May 18, 2025
FC Vitebsk	Arsenal	0 - 0	August 16, 2024
Arsenal	FC Vitebsk	1 - 1	April 5, 2024
FC Vitebsk	Arsenal	5 - 1	February 18, 2023
FC Vitebsk	Arsenal	3 - 0	August 20, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Home	FC Gomel	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	Bate Borisov	2 - 3	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	FC Dnepr Mogilev	0 - 1	Win
Jun 6, 26	Home	FC Minsk	3 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Dinamo Minsk	0 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Dinamo Brest	3 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Dinamo Minsk	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Home	Dinamo Brest	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Away	ML Vitebsk	1 - 2	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Baranovichi	2 - 3	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	FC Isloch Minsk R.	3 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Torpedo Zhodino	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Arsenal	13	4	6	3	17	18	-1	18
11	FC Vitebsk	13	3	5	5	12	16	-4	14

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.35% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Arsenal will score 0 goals, and FC Vitebsk will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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