Eliteserien
Match Analysis
Aalesund
Molde
Aalesund
W
D
D
W
W
L
Molde
L
W
W
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Molde | Aalesund | 4 - 1 | February 27, 2026 |
| Aalesund | Molde | 3 - 1 | May 16, 2023 |
| Molde | Aalesund | 3 - 0 | May 3, 2023 |
| Aalesund | Molde | 0 - 3 | March 25, 2023 |
| Molde | Aalesund | 3 - 0 | September 18, 2022 |
| Aalesund | Molde | 0 - 2 | May 16, 2022 |
Aalesund Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Kristiansund BK | 0 - 3 | Win |
| May 29, 26 | Home | Ham-Kam | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 25, 26 | Away | Tromso | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 20, 26 | Home | Brann | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Rosenborg | 2 - 3 | Win |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Sandefjord | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Molde Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 26 | Home | Bodo/Glimt | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | KFUM Oslo | 5 - 1 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Sandefjord | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 25, 26 | Away | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Kristiansund BK | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Tromso | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Eliteserien Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Molde | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 16 |
| 13 | Aalesund | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.0% likelihood that both Aalesund and Molde will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Molde to win
This prediction indicates that Molde has a 44.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.08 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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