Marseille vs Atletico Madrid Friday 14th August 2026 06:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Marseille Atletico Madrid

Marseille W L W W L D

Atletico Madrid W L W W L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Marseille	Atletico Madrid	0 - 3	May 16, 2018

Marseille Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Home	Nimes	2 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Nice	0 - 3	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Rennes	3 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	LE Havre	0 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Nantes	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	Nice	1 - 1	Draw

Atletico Madrid Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Home	Getafe	4 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Villarreal	5 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Girona	1 - 0	Win
May 12, 26	Away	Osasuna	1 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Celta Vigo	0 - 1	Loss
May 5, 26	Away	Arsenal	1 - 0	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.47% likelihood that both Marseille and Atletico Madrid will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Marseille or Atletico Madrid to win

This prediction indicates that Atletico Madrid has a 41.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.94 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed