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Segunda Liga
Academica logo Academica
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Lusitânia Lourosa logo Lusitânia Lourosa

Match Analysis

Academica Lusitânia Lourosa
Academica W W D D W L
Lusitânia Lourosa W L W D D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Academica Lusitânia Lourosa 1 - 0 April 20, 2024
Lusitânia Lourosa Academica 2 - 1 February 24, 2024

Academica Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Home Feirense 1 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Chaves 1 - 4 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Caldas 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 31, 26 Away União Santarém 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away FC Porto B 1 - 3 Win
Jul 22, 26 Away Tondela 2 - 1 Loss

Lusitânia Lourosa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 10, 26 Home FC Porto B 2 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Arouca 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Paredes 4 - 2 Win
Jul 29, 26 Home Leça 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 29, 26 Home FC Porto B 3 - 3 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Academico Viseu 1 - 0 Win

Segunda Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Academica 1 1 0 0 4 1 +3 3
2 Lusitânia Lourosa 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.82% likelihood that both Academica and Lusitânia Lourosa will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Academica to win
This prediction indicates that Academica has a 51.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.46 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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